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Title: APPLICATION OF GAME THEORY IN FLOOD CONTROL USING FLOODPLAIN
APPLICATION OF GAME THEORY IN FLOOD CONTROL USING FLOODPLAIN

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Tomas Kozel
10.5593/sgem2023V/3.2/s12.04
10.5593/sgem2023v/3.2
1314-2704
978-619-7603-64-4
English
23
3.2
•    Prof. DSc. Oleksandr Trofymchuk, UKRAINE •    Prof. Dr. hab. oec. Baiba Rivza, LATVIA
Hydrology and Water Resources
The paper deals with the possibility of applying game theory in the decision of the dispatcher regarding the opening of the gates to the floodplain (construction of flood control measures). When the forecast of the flood course is bur ended with a random error from the normalized normal distribution N (0.1). The forecast itself is in the range of flows are capable of causing significant damage. The experiment tested different options for adjusting the probability of betrayal (error) of the forecast model. The probability of betrayal was assessed from 5% to 95%. Furthermore, different ratios between the damage caused when the gates were opened and the actual damage caused within the city flooding when the gates were not opened were tested. The experimental results clearly show that in the long run it is more beneficial to open the gates to the floodplain in the case of pure Nash equilibrium. In the case of mixed equilibria, opening (not opening) depends on the ratio of damages and the probability of betrayal (error) of the prediction model. The probability of controller betrayal (opposite action to the forecast action) alone is less significant compared to the above conditions.
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The article was supported by grant FAST-S-23.
conference
https://doi.org/10.5593/sgem2023V/3.2/s12.04
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Proceedings of 23rd International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2023
23rd International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2023, 28-30 November, 2023
Proceedings Paper
STEF92 Technology
International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference-SGEM
SWS Scholarly Society; Acad Sci Czech Republ; Latvian Acad Sci; Polish Acad Sci; Russian Acad Sci; Serbian Acad Sci and Arts; Natl Acad Sci Ukraine; Natl Acad Sci Armenia; Sci Council Japan; European Acad Sci, Arts and Letters; Acad Fine Arts Zagreb Croatia; Croatian Acad Sci and Arts; Acad Sci Moldova; Montenegrin Acad Sci and Arts; Georgian Acad Sci; Acad Fine Arts and Design Bratislava; Russian Acad Arts; Turkish Acad Sci.
27-34
28-30 November, 2023
website
9389
Game theory, flood, floodplain, prisoner's dilemma, random predictionerror.

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