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The changes of the welfare of the Russian citizens are explored in the paper. The time diapason taken into account is: 2000 ? 2018. The monthly wage index based on the Dynamic series of macroeconomic statistics of the Russian Federation data (2000-2018) has been explored. The mathematical models of the wage index of this time period have been presented. They are based on the ARIMA (p, d, q) models with p, q less than or equal to 5 (Autoregressive integrated moving average). Forecasts of these models are compared t...