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Title: FORECASTING CONDITIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE BASED ON PHYSICAL AND CHEMICAL MODELLING
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FORECASTING CONDITIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE BASED ON PHYSICAL AND CHEMICAL MODELLING
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1314-2704
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English
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18
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5.2
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The relevance of the issue under study lay in the opportunity to predict climate change on the planet in the context of ever-increasing greenhouse gas emissions from natural and anthropogenic sources. Will it result in global warming or global cooling? The paper aimed at revealing correspondence between greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere and temperature change. The leading approach to the problem study was a method of physicochemical (thermodynamic) simulation with the use of the ?Selector-S? software widely used in scientific researches. This method allowed tracking the dependence of the temperature change on the share of the emission of every greenhouse for long periods. The modelling has shown that with a two-fold increase in the CO2 concentration in the surface atmosphere the temperature on the planet might rise to 18.15?C by 2100. Taking into account additional emissions of CH4, it will rise to 19.42?C, N2O ? to 20.08?C, and taking into account all the gases, including chlorofluorocarbons and water vapour, it will reach 22.68?C. In the lower troposphere, with an increase in CO2, the temperature might rise to 4.63?C. Taking into account emissions of CH4, it will rise to 5.83?C, with N2O ? to 6.50?C, and taking into account all the gases, including water vapour, it will reach 7.91?C.
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conference
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18th International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2018
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18th International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2018, 02-08 July, 2018
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Proceedings Paper
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STEF92 Technology
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International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference-SGEM
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Bulgarian Acad Sci; Acad Sci Czech Republ; Latvian Acad Sci; Polish Acad Sci; Russian Acad Sci; Serbian Acad Sci & Arts; Slovak Acad Sci; Natl Acad Sci Ukraine; Natl Acad Sci Armenia; Sci Council Japan; World Acad Sci; European Acad Sci, Arts & Letters; Ac
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445-452
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02-08 July, 2018
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website
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cdrom
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1485
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Forecasting; Climate; Thermodynamic model; Greenhouse gases
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