EPS eLibrary: COMPARISON OF NATIONAL, EUROPEAN AND BLACK SEA REGION FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING PRODUCTS FOR THE TERRITORY OF BULGARIA

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Title: COMPARISON OF NATIONAL, EUROPEAN AND BLACK SEA REGION FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING PRODUCTS FOR THE TERRITORY OF BULGARIA

Year

2023

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354

Peer Reviewed

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Title

COMPARISON OF NATIONAL, EUROPEAN AND BLACK SEA REGION FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING PRODUCTS FOR THE TERRITORY OF BULGARIA

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Authors

Vesela Stoyanova; Georgy Koshinchanov; Silviya Stoyanova

DOI

10.5593/sgem2023/3.1/s12.07

DOI Issue

10.5593/sgem2023/3.1

ISSN

1314-2704

ISBN

978-619-7603-58-3

Language

English

Volume

Issue

3.1

Editor

• Prof. DSc. Oleksandr Trofymchuk, UKRAINE
• Prof. Dr. hab. oec. Baiba Rivza, LATVIA

Scientific Area

Hydrology and Water Resources

Abstract/ Foreword

Flash floods occur in small areas and in a short time after an extreme precipitation event - generally less than six hours. The intensity of the precipitation, the location and distribution of the precipitation, the land use and topography, soil type, etc. determine just how quickly Flash Flooding can occur. These types of floods are extremely dangerous and it is very important to pay special attention to their forecasting.
Due to the complex nature of flash floods, in addition to the qualification and experience of the hydrologist involved in forecasting this type of extreme event, it is important to analyze and compare the results of different forecasting products.
This article presents the analyses and comparison of the results of three different products related to the forecasting of flash floods over the territory of Bulgaria. The forecast products considered are Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) of the Black Sea Middle East Flash Flood Guidance System (BSMEFFGS), ERIC - Numerical weather prediction based flash flood indicator of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) and the flash flood product of the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (NIMH) - Bulgaria for forecasting flash floods in small watersheds based on the Rational Method (RM). Forecast information for several significant events in 2022 on the territory of the country were analyzed.

References (click to open)

[1] Smith, P.J., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Thielen Del Pozo, J., Krzeminski, B., Salamon, P., Muraro, D., Kalas, M., Baugh, C. (2016) On the Operational Implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS), Flood Forecasting: A Global Perspective, pp. 313-348.
[2] Balabanova, S., Koshinchanov, G., Stoyanova, V., & Yordanova, V. (2019). GEODATABASE FOR OCCURRED FLOODS TO SUPPORT PRELIMINARY FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT. International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference: SGEM, 19(3.1), 225-232.
[3] Georgakakos, K. P. (2006). Analytical results for operational flash flood guidance. Journal of Hydrology, 317(1-2), 81-103.
[4] FLASH FOOD GUIDANCE file:///C:/Users/NIMH/Downloads/FLASH%20FOOD%20GUIDANCE%20(1).pdf
[5] Flash flood indicators https://www.efas.eu/en/flash-flood-indicators
[6] Kleshtanova, V., Markova, B., & Kirilova, A. Heavy rainfall in Karlovo valley in September 2022.

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Type

conference

Url

https://doi.org/10.5593/sgem2023/3.1/s12.07

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Proceedings Тitle

Proceedings of 23rd International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2023

Note

23rd International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2023, 03 - 09 July, 2023

Type

Proceedings Paper

Publisher

STEF92 Technology

Series

International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM

Organization

SWS Scholarly Society; Acad Sci Czech Republ; Latvian Acad Sci; Polish Acad Sci; Russian Acad Sci; Serbian Acad Sci and Arts; Natl Acad Sci Ukraine; Natl Acad Sci Armenia; Sci Council Japan; European Acad Sci, Arts and Letters; Acad Fine Arts Zagreb Croatia; Croatian Acad Sci and Arts; Acad Sci Moldova; Montenegrin Acad Sci and Arts; Georgian Acad Sci; Acad Fine Arts and Design Bratislava; Russian Acad Arts; Turkish Acad Sci.

Pages

53-60

Date

03 - 09 July, 2023

Online Source Type

website

Digital Source Type

9130

Keywords

Flash floods, EFAS, BSMEFFGS, Rational method, hydrological forecasts

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Title: COMPARISON OF NATIONAL, EUROPEAN AND BLACK SEA REGION FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING PRODUCTS FOR THE TERRITORY OF BULGARIA

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