Peer-reviewed articles 17,970 +



Title: COMPARISON OF NATIONAL, EUROPEAN AND BLACK SEA REGION FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING PRODUCTS FOR THE TERRITORY OF BULGARIA

COMPARISON OF NATIONAL, EUROPEAN AND BLACK SEA REGION FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING PRODUCTS FOR THE TERRITORY OF BULGARIA
Vesela Stoyanova; Georgy Koshinchanov; Silviya Stoyanova
10.5593/sgem2023/3.1
1314-2704
English
23
3.1
•    Prof. DSc. Oleksandr Trofymchuk, UKRAINE 
•    Prof. Dr. hab. oec. Baiba Rivza, LATVIA
Flash floods occur in small areas and in a short time after an extreme precipitation event - generally less than six hours. The intensity of the precipitation, the location and distribution of the precipitation, the land use and topography, soil type, etc. determine just how quickly Flash Flooding can occur. These types of floods are extremely dangerous and it is very important to pay special attention to their forecasting.
Due to the complex nature of flash floods, in addition to the qualification and experience of the hydrologist involved in forecasting this type of extreme event, it is important to analyze and compare the results of different forecasting products.
This article presents the analyses and comparison of the results of three different products related to the forecasting of flash floods over the territory of Bulgaria. The forecast products considered are Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) of the Black Sea Middle East Flash Flood Guidance System (BSMEFFGS), ERIC - Numerical weather prediction based flash flood indicator of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) and the flash flood product of the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (NIMH) - Bulgaria for forecasting flash floods in small watersheds based on the Rational Method (RM). Forecast information for several significant events in 2022 on the territory of the country were analyzed.
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[2] Balabanova, S., Koshinchanov, G., Stoyanova, V., & Yordanova, V. (2019). GEODATABASE FOR OCCURRED FLOODS TO SUPPORT PRELIMINARY FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT. International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference: SGEM, 19(3.1), 225-232.
[3] Georgakakos, K. P. (2006). Analytical results for operational flash flood guidance. Journal of Hydrology, 317(1-2), 81-103.
[4] FLASH FOOD GUIDANCE file:///C:/Users/NIMH/Downloads/FLASH%20FOOD%20GUIDANCE%20(1).pdf
[5] Flash flood indicators https://www.efas.eu/en/flash-flood-indicators
[6] Kleshtanova, V., Markova, B., & Kirilova, A. Heavy rainfall in Karlovo valley in September 2022.
conference
Proceedings of 23rd International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2023
23rd International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2023, 03 - 09 July, 2023
Proceedings Paper
STEF92 Technology
International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM
SWS Scholarly Society; Acad Sci Czech Republ; Latvian Acad Sci; Polish Acad Sci; Russian Acad Sci; Serbian Acad Sci and Arts; Natl Acad Sci Ukraine; Natl Acad Sci Armenia; Sci Council Japan; European Acad Sci, Arts and Letters; Acad Fine Arts Zagreb Croatia; Croatian Acad Sci and Arts; Acad Sci Moldova; Montenegrin Acad Sci and Arts; Georgian Acad Sci; Acad Fine Arts and Design Bratislava; Russian Acad Arts; Turkish Acad Sci.
53-60
03 - 09 July, 2023
website
9130
Flash floods, EFAS, BSMEFFGS, Rational method, hydrological forecasts