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CHANGES RECORDED IN ROMANIAS CLIMATE
Abstract
The research done by the climatology specialists of the National Meteorology Administration, using long stri ngs of data collected from 14 meteorological stations, showed, on a national level, an average temperature rise of 0.3В°C between 1901 and 2000 and of 0.5В°C between 1901 and 2007, which is statistically relevant in the Carpathian region, with certain seasonal os cillations. The data analysis done with the help of the archives gathered from a la rge number of meteorol ogical stations (94), consisting of continuous strings of obser vations starting with 1961, has shown an intensification of temperature rise over the last decades. Thus, between 1961 and 2007, a significant temperature rise (of about 2В°C) was recorded all over the country during summer, in the Carpathian region during winter and spring, with higher values for Moldavia, which recorded an increase of over 2В°C during winter and 1В°C during spring; the slight cooling trend that was recorded all across the country in autumn is not statistically relevant. By us ing climate models, it can be estimated that the mean monthly temperature change across Romania, for the 2001-2030 time frame, can reach a high point in July of up to 1.3В°C (compared to the 1961-1990 time frame), considering a scenario of worldwide moderate emission growth. Using the same time frame, the rainfall estimations suggest the possibility of a decrease of average values during the warm season by up to 6% for the 2001-2030 time frame. In Romania, climatic variability will have direct effect s on sectors such as agriculture, forestry, water management, th e residential and infrastructural sectors, will provoke the change of vegetation periods and also the displacement of the dividing lines between forests and meadows and will cause an increase of the occurrence ra te and intensity of extreme meteorological phenomena (storms, floods, droughts). The changes in the climate regime of Romania f it into the global context, considering the regional conditions: the temperature rise will be more significant during summer, while in the N- W of Europe the highest numbers will be recorded during winter.
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References10
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