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ANALYSIS OF THE PRESENT AND NEAR FUTURE WIND CONDITIONS IN THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE BLACK SEA
Abstract
The aim of the presented paper is to analyze the 10-meter wind (U10) conditions of the western part of the Black Sea during the present and near future interval. More precisely, 10 locations were studied. Regarding the geographical location, the points of interest are located in the range 40oN to 47oN and 27oE to 34oE as follows: 2 points are near to the Ukraine?s coast line, 3 to Romania?s coast line, 2 to Bulgaria?s coast line and 3 to Turkey?s coast line. Thus, for analyzing the wind conditions during the present interval, two sets of data were taken into consideration. The first set was provided by the Regional Climate Model (EURO-CORDEX evaluation) for 30 years (01 January 1980 to 31 December 2009). The second data set was based on 30-year (01 January 1987 to 31 December 2016) hindcast information provided by NCEP-CFSR (National Centers for Environmental Prediction?Climate Forecast System Reanalysis). Regarding the near future analysis, 30-year (01 January 2021 to 31 December 2050) of data coming from the Regional Climate Model (EURO-CORDEX, scenario RCP4.5) were used. Finally, by analyzing the resulted data it can be concluded that the presented paper provides a more comprehensive picture regarding the present and near future of 10-meter wind conditions within the western part Black Sea. Some climatic trends can be also assessed.
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