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COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS LAKE AREA DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THERMOKARST PLAINS AND THERMOKARST PLAINS WITH FLUVIAL EROSION FOR THE NATURAL RISK ASSESSMENT

A. S. Victorov

First published: 2019-06-20https://doi.org/10.5593/sgem2019/1.2/s02.015View metrics

Abstract

The theoretical analysis is based on the mathematical models of morphological patterns of the thermokarst plains and thermokarst plains with fluvial erosion in case of the ?synchronous start? of the thermokarst processes and little change of climate. The synchronous start means that the initial thermokarst depressions had appeared during a relatively short period and then only their size changed under thermos-abrasion or they disappeared due to their drainage by erosion streams (at the thermokarst plains with fluvial erosion). The analysis of the mathematical models gives the following results: lognormal distribution of the thermokarst lake areas should be typical for the thermokarst plains after a long development time: gamma distribution of the thermokarst lake areas should be typical for the thermokarst plains with fluvial erosion after a long development time. The empirical testing of the models was done for 34 key sites. The key sites situate at watershed plains, river and sea terraces within areas of either continuous or intermittent and island permafrost.

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Title
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS LAKE AREA DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THERMOKARST PLAINS AND THERMOKARST PLAINS WITH FLUVIAL EROSION FOR THE NATURAL RISK ASSESSMENT
Authors
A. S. Victorov
Proceedings
SGEM International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference EXPO Proceedings; 19th SGEM International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference EXPO Proceedings19th, Science and Technologies in Geology, Exploration And Mining
Publisher
STEF92 Technology
Year
2019
Pages
113-120
SWS Citekey
Victorov20192113120
ISSN
1314-2704
ISBN
978-619-7408-77-5
Language
en
Publication type
Conference Paper
Keywords
References6
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  2. Kirpotin S.N., Polishchuk YU.M., Bryksina N.A. Dynamics of areas of thermokarst lakes in continuous and intermittent cryolithozone of Western Siberia in the context of global warming // Vestnik TGU. № 311. 2008. pp.185–189. (in Russian).

  3. Polishchuk V.YU., Polishchuk YU.M. Geoimitatsionnoye modelirovaniye poley termokarstovykh ozer v zonakh merzloty. (Geo-simulation modeling of thermokarst lakes fields in permafrost zones), Khanty-Mansiysk: UIP YUGU, 2013. 129 p. (in Russian).

  4. Grosse G., Jones B. M., Nitze I., Lindgren P. R., Walter Anthony K. M., & Romanovsky V. E. Massive thermokarst lake area loss in continuous ice-rich permafrost of the northern Seward Peninsula, Northwestern Alaska, 1949-2015 // XI. International Conference on Permafrost – Book of Abstracts, 20 – 24 June 2016, Potsdam, Germany. Bibliothek Wissenschaftspark Albert Einstein, 2016, pp. 739-740, DOI: 10.2312/GFZ.LIS.2016.001.

  5. Victorov A.S., Kapralova V.N., Orlov T.V. et al. (2016) Matematicheskaya morfologiya landshaftov kriolitozony (Mathematical morphology of cryolithozone landscapes) Moscow RUDN Publ.:232 p. (in Russian).

  6. Romanovskiy N.N. Erosion-thermokarst hollows in the north of the coastal lowlands of Yakutia and the Novosibirsk islands// Merzlotnyye issledovaniya. Vyp. 1. 1961. S.124-144. (in Russian).

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