Scholarly record
ECONOMIC DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FROM PREMATURE MORTALITY OF THE POPULATION OF THE SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT
Abstract
The aim of the study is to assess economic damage from real losses of the working-age population of the constituent entities of the Siberian Federal District caused by the negative impact of climate change, air pollution, man-made emergencies and transport accidents. The economic damage assessment from premature deaths of the working-age population of the Siberian Federal District was conducted based on data from the territorial offices of Rosstat, the Ministry of Emergency Situations, and medical analytical centers for the period of 2024. The paper proposes a classification of priority risk factors for premature mortality within the concept of the socio-natural-technogenic system. A comprehensive economic damage assessment was conducted applying a probabilistic mortality risk model and standard compensation values for loss of life in the Russian Federation taking into account the contribution of each risk factor. The damage assessment methodology takes into account quantitative values of socio-sphere risks associated with the impact of air pollution and regional climate change, assessed based on the information from 2005 to 2024. The paper demonstrates that the total economic damage from premature mortality among the working-age population ranges from 0.3% to 0.47% of the gross regional product of the Siberian Federal District's constituent entities. Differences in the estimated economic damage for different risk factor groups are due to the heterogeneity of the impact. The greatest damage values were obtained for environmental factors. The maximum values in this group were obtained in the Krasnoyarsk Region of 180 billion rubles per year. The highest damage from industrial accidents and incidents was found in the Kemerovo Region (approximately 70 million rubles per year), and from transport accidents in the Irkutsk Region (approximately 160 million rubles per year). The obtained assessments of economic damage from premature mortality can be used to develop measures to prevent and mitigate the consequences of the negative impact of environmental factors such as climate change.
Publication details
References22
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