Scholarly record
MODELING THE CHANGES IN GLOBAL TEMPERATURE DUE TO POLLUTION
Abstract
This article is considering anthropogenic and natural pollution, which leads to a change in global temperature. The article also talks about the Greenhouse effect and global climate change. The average global temperatures can fluctuate within years and even decades, for different natural reasons. The article analyses how the world pollution leads to a change in the global average temperature. The aim is to create a model that will show us the relations between the changes in global average temperature with the pollution of the natural habitat. ADL-model (autoregressive distributed lags model) was chosen as the theoretical model, in which the current row values depend both on the previous values of this row and on the current and previous values of different time rows. Eight different variables were chosen as exogenous variables, which characterize the pollution of the natural habitat and influence the change of the global temperature: Methane emissions (kt of CO2 equivalent); Nitrous oxide emissions (thousand metric tons of CO2 equivalent); Greenhouse Gas Emissions (tonnes of CO2 equivalent); CO2 Emissions from the Consumption and Flaring of Fossil Fuels (tonnes); Waste Generated by Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air Conditioning Supply (tonnes); Waste Generated by Households (tonnes). Primary statistical data on endogenous and exogenous variables was gathered from different countries for period of time between 1998 and 2015. Endogenous and exogenous parameters for global economy based on primary statistical data which were determined as countriesпїЅ compound ratio indexes in year t.
Publication Impact Profile
Publication details
References15
Audsley E., Modelling Approaches to the Control of Agricultural Pollution, The Journal of Agricultural Science, Canada, vol. 118/issue 3, pp 397-400, 1992.
Voet E., Kleijn R., Haes H.A., Nitrogen pollution in the European Union – an economy-environment confrontation, Environmental Conservation, UK, vol. 23/issue 3, pp 198-206, 1996.
Fisher C.T., Thurston T.L., Special section Dynamic landscapes and socio-political process: the topography of anthropogenic environments in global perspective, Antiquity, UK, vol. 73/issue 281, pp 630-631, 1999.
McEvoy A.F., 1 - The problem of environment, Northwestern University, Illinois, Cambridge University Press., USA, pp 3-16, 2010, Chapter DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511583681.002.
Dinstein Y., 7 - Protection of the environment, Tel-Aviv University, Cambridge University Press., USA, pp 197-217, 1986, Chapter DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511845246.009.
Barescut J., et. al., The set of software tools for prompt assessment of possible pollution of the environment in case of an accident at a radioactively dangerous object, Radioprotection, UK, vol. 44/issue 5, pp 771-776, 2009.
Bao Z., et. al., Modeling short-term concentration fluctuations of semi-volatile pollutants in the soil–plant–atmosphere system, Science of The Total Environment, USA, vol. 569-570/issue 1, pp 159-167, 2016.
Easterling D.R., 2 - Observed changes in the global distribution of daily temperature and precipitation extremes, Book: Climate Extremes and Society, National Climatic Data Center NOAA, Cambridge University Press., USA, pp 24-34, 2008.
Almazroui M., et. al., Assessing the robustness and uncertainties of projected changes in temperature and precipitation in AR4 Global Climate Models over the Arabian Peninsula, Atmospheric Research, USA, vol. 182, pp 163-175, 2016.
Stordal F., et. al., Global temperature response to century-scale degassing from the Siberian Traps Large igneous province, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, USA, vol. 471/issue 1, pp 96-107, 2017.
Long D., et. al., Global analysis of spatiotemporal variability in merged total water storage changes using multiple GRACE products and global hydrological models, Remote Sensing of Environment, USA, vol. 192, pp 198-216, 2017.
Hanaoka T., et. al., Potential for reducing air-pollutants while achieving 2 °C global temperature change limit target, USA, vol. 195, pp 336-343, 2014.
Rudenko D., Skripnuk D., Environmental Kuznets curve: the case of Arctic Russian regions, International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference-SGEM. 16th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Geoconference (SGEM), Jun 30 – July 6, Albena, Bulgaria, vol. 3/issue 5, pp. 209-216, 2016.
Rudenko D.Y., A comprehensive approach to the study of poverty in the region, Regional Research of Russia, vol. 4/issue 3, pp. 143-151, 2014.
Didenko N., Rudenko D., Skripnuk D., Environmental security issues in the Russian Arctic, International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference-SGEM. 15th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Geoconference (SGEM), Jun 18-24, Albena, Bulgaria, vol. 3/issue 5, pp. 267-274, 2015.
Citing literature
Number of times cited according to Crossref: 3
View or Download full articleAccess options
SWS access login
Login as SWS Scientific CommitteeLogin as SWS Scientific PartnerLogin as SWS AuthorAuthors and approved SWS contributors will read and export their own linked papers after identity matching by SWS profile, email and SGEM GlobalID.
For librarian assistance: [email protected]
Purchase Instant Access
- Article can be downloaded after successful payment.
- Article may be used according to SWS library access terms.
- Article cannot be redistributed.
