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TRENDS IN THE AFFORESTED AND REFORESTED AREAS IN LATVIA
Abstract
Forests and the land where the forests grow are some of the key natural resources in Latvia. Forests occupy half of the total area of Latvia. Unlike other countries where deforestation is a problem, the forest area increases in Latvia owing to natural and artificial afforestation activities. The paper analysed changes in the reforested and afforested areas in Latvia in the period 2007-2017 and found that the most essential factors contributing to the reforestation and afforestation were national and European Union financial support, the requirements of the relevant legal framework and amendments to it, economic processes in the country as well as educational measures targeting forest owners. A correlation analysis revealed that the most essential socio-economic factors that were strongly related to the reforested and afforested areas were as follows: (1) output of products of wood and cork per employee, as well as the value of output and the turnover of the sector; (2) exports of forest industry products from Latvia; (3) GDP per employee; (4) number of employees engaged in manufacture of furniture; (5) number of construction enterprises and the volume of construction. Based on the correlation analysis results, the research constructed three regression equations to be employed to explain changes and forecast trends in the following types of forest area: (1) artificially reforested area; (2) naturally reforested area; (3) afforested plantation area.
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