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TIME- SERIES MODEL \& FORECAST OF HYDRO- CLIMATIC DATA IN BASIN AREA OF RIVER BREGALNICA
Abstract
The changes of hydro-climatic characteristics have effect on surrounding. The problems in the river Bregalnica basin (Eastern part of the Republic of Macedonia) are the result of abundant rainfalls and long drought periods. Observing and understanding the hydro-climatic effects may provide good estimate in several fields (agriculture, management of water resources and civil engineering). Visualization of data on the hydro-climatic changes in the river basin provides a good forecast. Time Series of rainfalls and temperature can be analysing with statistical methods. ARIMA models analysis data on monthly and annual rainfalls and temperature. ARIMA models are good technique for predict of hydro-climatic variations.
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References12
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